Trump’s Inept Nuclear Strategy: A Risky Gamble with Iran and Russia

The U.S. stands on the brink of a new nuclear arms race with Russia. In 2018, Trump unilaterally withdrew from the Iran nuclear deal but, under a new U.S. proposal, wants Iran to send that uranium to Russia, a hostile foreign adversary.

Trump first opened the door for a new arms race when he withdrew from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty in 2019. With the Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (START) set to expire in 2026, Trump’s renewed reliance on Putin demonstrates the diplomatic incompetence of his administration.

The Iran nuclear deal (referred to as the JCPOA), between Iran, the EU, and the U.S., had curbed Iran’s nuclear ambitions in exchange for sanctions relief, backed by rigorous international inspections. After Trump reneged on the agreement, Iran ramped up its enriched uranium production — a predictable consequence of Washington’s broken commitment.

Iran is expectedly resistant. Tehran insists its stockpile stays under the watch of the UN’s nuclear watchdog, the IAEA. Their reasoning? Insurance if again Trump again backs out of a deal.

Asking Iran to surrender its leverage while partnering with an untrusted third party like Russia is not a step toward stability. The only winner in all of this is Russia — it’s a geopolitical blunder with high stakes and no upside for the US.

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